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Northern New England's quality of life and business are routinely affected
by changes in air quality. In fact, during summer, most of southern New Hampshire
and coastal Maine suffer from episodic ozone events that are regarded as "very
unhealthy" for humans and the environment. New England also suffers from the effects
of acid rain. These and other air quality issues in the region are largely
the result of the influx of airborne pollutants originating from industrial regions,
metropolitan centers, and transportation corridors located in upwind source regions
(especially in the Midwestern and mid-Atlantic United States), although emissions
from within northern New England from transportation and industrial sources also
play a key role. Recently, an analysis of air pollution, precipitation, and tropical
cyclones along the eastern seaboard of the U.S. suggested that human activities
are affecting weather patterns on a regional scale. An increased frequency of
weekend storms has been linked to the buildup of air pollution during the week
(Cerveny and Balling, 1998). An improved understanding of the relationships between
weather, air-mass trajectories, air quality in northern New England, and human
and ecosystem health is essential for maintaining our quality of life in the region.
There currently exist several air quality monitoring programs aimed at developing
quantitative measures of air quality through the analysis of a variety of chemical
species in the atmosphere. Among these are the National
Atmospheric Deposition Program (NADP), which has been monitoring the acidity
and chemical content of precipitation throughout the United States for the past
two decades and the Environmental Protection Agency's -Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations (PAMS),
which provide an air quality data base for dealing with ozone and other criteria pollutants . Programs such as these,
in combination with several smaller scale research and monitoring projects,
provide the basis for monitoring the quality of the air we breathe.
While many atmospheric parameters (such as temperature, sunlight, precipitation, humidity, etc.)
influence the composition of air-masses, natural and
anthropogenic emissions in the source regions remain one of the most critical for determining the
chemical fingerprint of an air-mass. Air chemistry monitoring therefore represents a valuable tool for
identifying the source region for various air-masses. To better identify the source regions for
air-masses traveling to New England and their influence on the region's air quality,
aerosol and precipitation chemistry is currently being
investigated at the Mount Washington Observatory and on the New Hampshire Seacoast at Odiorne Point,
Rye by the Climate Change Research Center. Below we provide several examples of the intimate link
between air-mass source regions and air chemistry in New England.
The New Hampshire seacoast lies downwind of the major metropolitan centers and transportation
corridors in New England, and therefore provides a suitable site to investigate the impact of both
local and distant sources of pollution. At Odiorne Point, aerosols are collected daily on Teflon
filters and analyzed for their soluble major ion chemistry (sodium, ammonium, potassium, magnesium,
calcium, chloride, nitrate and sulfate). Aerosols with distinct chemical compositions originate from
different source regions and can therefore be used to "fingerprint" different air-masses. Daily weather
maps made available by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) are also analyzed to
determine air flow patterns and thereby identify potential source regions. Through this combined
approach of investigating physical and chemical climate, air chemistry data can be used to determine
the source regions of various air-masses.
Figure 4.1 shows some of our preliminary results
from aerosol samples collected over two months during the spring of 1998. Marine air-masses (those coming
from the east) show high levels of sea salt (composed primarily of sodium and chloride); air-masses from
the eastern seaboard south of New England show high levels of acidic species, indicative of anthropogenic
emissions from the burning of fossil fuels in the mid-Atlantic states; and air-masses from Canada show very
low sea-salt, indicative of their continental origin, but high sulfate, perhaps originating from the
smelting of sulfur rich ores in the Sudbury region of Ontario (Clark, 1980). Air-masses from the
northwest (i.e., those originating in Canada) also show high levels of ammonium, likely reflecting
agricultural sources from rural areas to the northwest of New Hampshire's seacoast (Lefer, 1997).
In February of 1998, rime-ice samples were collected
at the summit of Mount Washington to investigate how air-masses from different geographic regions affect
the precipitation chemistry, and hence air quality, over Mount Washington. The summit of Mount Washington
was chosen as a study site because it is one of the most remote locations in New England and is situated at
the intersection of three of North America's major storm tracks. As such, the summit of Mount
Washington is an ideal location to study how emissions emanating from other regions of the country
affect the chemical climate of northern New England.
The results from the Mount Washington study are complementary to those from Odiorne Point. There
was a distinct change in concentration of sea-salt, nitrate, non sea-salt (nss) sulfate, and ammonium
in rime-ice at Mount Washington on 21 February 1998 (Figure 4.2). The change in rime-ice chemistry is due to a shift in air-mass source region from a
southwest trajectory out of the Ohio River Valley during the morning to a west-northwest trajectory out
of Ontario, Canada in the afternoon. Rime-ice from the southwesterly derived air-mass contained
elevated concentrations of nitrate and nss sulfate likely reflecting emissions from coal- and oil-burning
power plants and mobile sources (e.g., cars and trucks) in the Ohio River Valley. The shift to a
west-northwest air-mass trajectory was coincident
with a decrease
in the concentration of nitrate and an increase in concentration of nss sulfate, perhaps reflecting
anthropogenic sources in the Great Lakes industrial region and/or Sudbury, Ontario. This "Canadian"
air-mass also shows higher levels of ammonium, consistent with agricultural sources to the northwest of
Mount Washington.
Continued monitoring of a wide variety of air quality parameters on the seacoast, at Mount Washington,
and at several other sites throughout the state will allow us to develop a much better understanding of the
relationship between air quality in New England and the transport of pollution from upwind sources into
the region.
Precipitation chemistry records derived from a Greenland ice core
(Figure 1.3, Mayewski et al., 1990) reveal a dramatic
increase in the concentrations of sulfate and nitrate following the industrial revolution (approximately
1900 AD), as mentioned in Chapter One. The Greenland ice core record also shows a leveling off of sulfate
and nitrate concentrations after 1970 when the National Ambient
Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) were established as part of the
Clean Air Act . The 1970 amendments to the Federal
Clean Air Act were developed to protect the public's health and welfare by controlling air pollution
at its source through the establishment of primary and secondary NAAQS. Since 1970 several amendments have
been made establishing stricter primary and secondary NAAQS as a result of a better understanding of the
impact that air pollutants have on human health and the environment.
Acid rain is caused primarily by the emission of
sulfur dioxide (SO2) and
nitrogen oxides (NOx) from the combustion of fossil
fuels that we use to heat our homes, power our cars, generate electricity, and run our factories. Here in
the Northeast, this phenomenon has caused lakes and stream to become unsuitable for many fish (Baker and
Schofield, 1985; Park, 1987). Acid rain has been known to leach heavy metals such as mercury from rocks,
thereby causing contamination of water supplies and introducing human health risks (Brakke et al., 1988).
Acid rain can also alter soil chemistry in agricultural and forested lands and causes significant damage
to human made structures, especially those consisting of limestone and marble. In addition to contributing
to acid rain, sulfate aerosols also play a significant role in Earth's radiation balance. The increase
in sulfate aerosol in the troposphere adjacent to
industrial regions of the globe over the past century has in fact served to cool climate on a regional
scale (Charlson et al., 1992; Mayewski et al., 1993, IPCC, 1995).
Aerosol chemistry samples from Whiteface Mountain in upstate New York show a strong correlation
between the decrease in SO2 emissions in the mid-western states since 1970 and the decrease
in average sulfate concentrations in the Northeast (Husain et al., 1998). The deposition of sulfate in
precipitation in northern New England measured at four locations has decreased on the order of 30% since
the early 1980s ( Figure 4.3a ). In addition,
the longest
precipitation chemistry record in New England, measured at Hubbard Brook in northern New Hampshire, shows
that the average pH of precipitation has increased since 1970
from approximately 4.1 to 4.3 standard pH units (
Figure 4.4 ), indicating that the acidity of precipitation is slowly decreasing. The same cannot be
said for the deposition of nitrate, which has shown no significant change since the early 1980s
(Figure
4.3b ).
The decrease in sulfate deposition and precipitation acidity can be directly linked to the reduction in
SO2 emissions as a result of the Clean Air Act. In fact, annual SO2 emissions from
anthropogenic sources in the U.S. have decreased from 28.3 million metric tons in 1970 to 17.4 million
metric tons in 1996 (Figure 4.5 ). This is due
primarily to a reduction in sulfur emissions from electric utilities, which are responsible for
approximately two-thirds of the nation's sulfur emissions. At the same time, nitrogen oxides emission
rates have increased from 19.7 million metric tons in 1970 to 21.3 million metric tons in 1996. This
increase can largely be related to the more than doubling of vehicle miles traveled over the past three
decades. (U.S.EPA, 1977). Motor vehicles currently account for approximately 30% of all nitrogen oxides
emissions.
Clearly, the Clean Air Act Amendments have been successful in reducing sulfur oxides emission rates
and sulfate deposition via precipitation. On the other hand, nitrogen oxides emission rates have continued
to increase, albeit slowly, and wet deposition of nitrate has remained relatively constant. Amendments to
the Clean Air Act that were designed to reduce emissions of criteria pollutants further were passed in
1990 and were phased in starting in 1995. Ongoing air quality monitoring and research programs will
evaluate the effect of the 1995 amendments on air quality in coming years.
Ozone is a very important chemical in our atmosphere. It is found in the troposphere (near the
earth's surface, where our weather occurs) as well as in the stratosphere (above the troposphere).
Ozone in the stratosphere protects us from ultraviolet radiation. Scientists are concerned about the
depletion of this ozone layer, particularly the ozone "hole" over Antarctica, as well as the more recent
depletion in northern latitudes. Ozone in the troposphere affects us very differently. Tropospheric ozone,
a component of urban smog, causes health problems for humans and ecosystems. In high concentrations for
periods of a few hours, ozone can damage lung tissue, reduce lung function, irritate eyes, and is also
harmful to plants.
Tropospheric ozone is a pollutant which affects large geographical areas when weather conditions are
favorable for its formation. Ozone at ground-level is a secondary pollutant which forms in the atmosphere
as a by-product of chemical reactions that take place between other chemical compounds (i.e. ozone
precursors) emitted from automobiles, diesel trucks and industrial sources. Specifically, these ozone
precursors are volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx). These compounds react
together when exposed to strong ultraviolet radiation from the sun during hot summer weather.
Ozone, NOx , and VOCs are currently monitored by State Environmental Agencies. Several stations have
been established in New England since several cities in the region (including the Dover-Portsmouth-Rochester
region) are designated as "serious non-attainment zones" for ozone by the EPA. Very high ozone levels occur
in the seacoast regions of Maine, New Hampshire, and Massachusetts during the summer due to a combination
of factors. These areas are densely populated and produce an abundance of pollution themselves. The area
also tends to be sunny in spring and summer because of the sea breeze effect, which inhibits cloud formation.
However, ozone levels tend to rise to their highest and most unhealthy levels when pollutants are transported
into New England from regions to the southwest along what is known as the ozone transport corridor.
In 1997, the EPA changed its criteria for unhealthy ozone levels. Instead of hourly ozone levels
exceeding 120 parts per billion (ppb), an 8-hour average of over 80 ppb is now considered an "exceedance".
Some individuals may be affected by short periods of very high ozone, but it is more harmful for most people
and for plants to be exposed for longer periods of time, even at a lower level. This change in standards
resulted in more events being classified as very unhealthy
(Figure 4.6 ).
The high number of unhealthy ozone days in 1988 is remarkable. This is primarily attributed to a
circulation pattern which brought several periods of hot sunny weather to the Northeast. This
circulation pattern was linked to a phenomenon in the southern Pacific ocean called
La Niña , which often follows a prolonged El
Niño event. Interestingly, climate events halfway around the world have a significant effect on our
region's air quality.
On average, southern New Hampshire and coastal Maine experience 3 to 5 days per year of very unhealthy
ozone levels, with some years (e.g., 1988) that are considerably worse. However, high ozone levels are not
restricted to these areas. In fact, very unhealthy levels of ozone have also been measured by the
Appalachian Mountain Club (AMC) at the summit of Mount Washington.
Below, we provide 3 examples of ozone events in New Hampshire to illustrate what we know and
what we do not concerning the causes of high ozone events in the region.
On 28 June a high pressure center to the west of New England yielded
sunny skies (Figure 4.7a ).
Pollutants from the seacoast reacted with sunlight to form ozone. However, by
1 July, ozone levels increased by an additional 50%.
As the high pressure system moved eastwards, the prevailing winds shifted from a northwest to a
southwest direction, transporting pollutants and already-formed ozone from other industrial areas to
the southwest and along the east coast of the U.S. (
Figure 4.7b ), adding to already high ozone levels. The influence of ozone transported into coastal
New Hampshire and Maine is clearly illustrated in
Figure 4.8 . Ozone and its precursors move with the weather systems and ozone formed as a result of
New York or Boston emissions can impact populations in New Hampshire and Maine on a hot summer day. The
highest ozone levels of the day typically occurs late in the afternoon at monitoring stations most
susceptible to long range transport. Coastal ozone monitors in New Hampshire and Maine usually record
the highest ozone concentrations as a result of transport over the open ocean from the big cities to the
south. Wind direction on a hot summer afternoon will determine if ground-level ozone is going to be a
problem on a particular day. In addition, peak values for ozone rise steadily from 28 June to 1 July, as
more polluted air is transported into the region (
Figure 4.9 ). Note that the trend in NO2, one chemical compound which contributes to ozone
formation, shows a trend which is opposite to that for ozone (i.e., low values during the afternoon when
ozone levels are greatest). This illustrates NO2 consumption during the series of reactions that
lead to the formation of ozone.
This was a period of
very high ozone on the seacoast as well as on the summit of Mount Washington (
figure 4.10 ). As usual, the seacoast levels drop
dramatically at night as tropospheric ozone was effectively removed from the atmosphere close to the
ground and because it is not produced after the sun goes down. Atop Mount Washington, though, the readings
remained very high, actually peaking in the early morning on the 11th, and not dropping below 70 ppb for
three straight days. The White Mountain region is not a major pollutant source, and therefore the ozone was
probably carried in on westerly winds. The lack of a diurnal variation is explained by the fact that there
is very little ground surface at the summit of Mt. Washington, so ozone is not readily removed from the
atmosphere. Note that ozone levels at the base of the mountain were much lower than at the summit, day and
night, even though it is only four miles away. The dense forest environment at the base serves to rapidly
remove ozone from the atmosphere.
Ozone levels
on the summit of Mt. Washington peaked early on 5 July at about 130 ppb, well above normal and healthy levels.
However, ozone levels at the base of the mountain and on the seacoast never exceeded 60 ppb.
(figure 4.11 )
Perhaps a disturbance in the layer that separates the troposphere from the stratosphere allowed ozone
from the stratosphere ("good" ozone, our protective shield) to accumulate for a short period at the summit
of Mt. Washington, but was not transported to low elevations such as the base of Mt. Washington or the
seacoast. This peak may also represent the long-range transport of ozone from the west or southwest at
elevations of 5000 - 6000 feet (i.e., the summit elevation of Mount Washington), which would not influence
ozone concentration on the seacoast. Future monitoring of a variety of both gas phase and aerosol chemistry
will provide the data necessary to answer these and other important scientific questions regarding air
quality in New England.
Why continue to investigate air quality in New
England?
Clearly, our general understanding of chemical climate in New England over the past two decades
improved substantially - especially with respect to acid rain and ozone. However, many of the specifics
regarding air quality issues remain poorly understood. In conjunction with ongoing air quality monitoring
programs in the region, we plan to develop a detailed air quality/air-mass trajectory data base in order
to address several specific scientific questions, including:
- How much of the poor air quality that we suffer from
in New England is the result of pollution produced locally verses pollution that is transported into the
region from upwind sources (e.g., mid-west or mid-Atlantic states)? How much does this change over days,
weeks, months, and seasons?
- How will changes in the strength of these local and upwind
sources (as mandated by the Clean Air Act) affect air quality in New England over the coming years?
- What and where are the specific sources of pollution, and which
weather patterns cause the worst air quality in New England?
- Are there significant differences between air quality in the
mountains and the seacoast regions of New England? Why?
- How will the predicted warming of 2.5 o to 4 oC with a
doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide (IPCC, 1995), and the potential changes in precipitation and
atmospheric circulation patterns, affect New England's chemical climate?
- How will regional and long traveled pollution aerosol
influence the Earth's radiation budget over New England?
Answers to these and other questions regarding the quality of the air we breathe are being sought
through the examination of data collected from existing sites and that proposed at future sites. Results
will provide us with the understanding to deal with air quality issues in the future.
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New Hampshire.
Mayewski, P.A., Lyons, W.B., Spencer, M.J., Twickler, M.S., Buck, C.F. and
Whitlow, S. 1990. An Ice Core Record of Atmospheric Response to Anthropogenic Sulphate and Nitrate.
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Mayewski, P.A., Holdsworth, G., Spencer, M.J., Whitlow, S., Twickler, M.,
Morrison, M., Ferland, K., and Meeker, L.D. 1993. Ice-core Sulfate from Three Northern Hemisphere Sites:
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Report by:
Dr. Cameron Wake, Research Assistant Professor in the Climate Change Research Center in the
Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans and Space and the Department of Earth Sciences.
Mr. Kevan Carpenter, Research Technician, Climate Change Research Center in the Institute for the Study of Earth,
Oceans and Space.
Mr. Justin Cox, Iola Hubbard Climate Change Endowment Undergraduate Summer Fellow.
Mr. Joe Souney, Iola Hubbard Climate Change Graduate Summer Fellow.
Mr. Paul Sanborn, New Hampshire Department of Environmental Services. Mr. Mark Rodgers, Department of Chemistry, University of
New Hampshire.
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