integrated assessment - an analysis which involves multiple
disciplines and seeks to inform policy and decision making rather
than to advance knowledge for its own sake. (Ch. 10, Economic and
Social Dimensions of Climate Change (Working Group III, IPCC, 1995))
Societal impacts of climate variability are expected to increase
dramatically during the 21st century. This increase will likely
result from increasing human population in conjunction with poor
zoning and piecemeal management of our natural resources. On a regional
scale, the most notable and potentially serious effects of climate
variability are likely to be fluctuations in the magnitude and frequency
of extreme weather such as floods, blizzards, droughts, and heat
waves. Furthermore, these acute events often result in ecological
disruption and public health problems, which are typically further
compounded by regional air pollution.
Our focus is New England. The region experiences considerable climate
variability, both spatially and temporally. The region's air quality
is strongly affected by emissions from upwind sources in the Mid-Atlantic,
the Midwest, and eastern Canada and by local/regional emissions
as well. New England also has a wide variety of landscapes ranging
from densely-populated urban areas to largely-forested regions.
Finally, many New Englander's have strong cultural and economic
ties with their physical and ecological environment.
The New England Integrated Sciences and Assessments (NEISA) will
rely upon the efforts of the AIRMAP (Atmospheric Investigations,
Regional Modeling, Analysis and Prediction) research program funded
by NOAA. One of the ultimate goals of AIRMAP is to develop decision
relevant information concerning climate and air quality for the
citizens of New England. In order to identify and engage a wide
range of interested and affected parties in this process, we have
been funded by NOAA - Office of Global Programs to undertake a multi-year
program titled The Effect of Air
Quality and Weather on Human Health in New England: Assessing Vulnerability
and Generating Decision Relevant Information. The main objective
of this research is toimprove public health in New England by:
(1) engaging a wide range ofstakeholders in the development of
a strategic plan to investigate the link between pulmonary health
and air quality; and
(2) use the resutls to create informed public policy and guide
the development of the NOAA funded AIRMAP air quality forecasting
research effort.
At present, there are five Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments
activities in the United States funded by NOAA - Office of Global
Programs . These are focused on:
Details of the NOAA-OGP Integrated Assessments program are provided
here.
A separate National
Assessment on the Impacts of Climate Change on the United States
is being conducted by the US Global
Change Research Program.
The New England Regional
Assessment portion of the National Assessment is being conducted
by scientists at the Institute for the Study of Earth Oceans and
Space at the University of New Hampshire.
For more information or to get involved with the New England Integrated
Sciences and Assessments project, please contact:
Cameron Wake
NEISA Project Director
Climate Change Research Center, EOS
University of New Hampshire
Durham, NH 03824
Voice: 603-862-2329
Fax: 603-862-2124
e-mail address: cameron.wake@unh.edu
or
Adam Wilson
NEISA Project Coordinator
Climate Change Research Center, EOS
University of New Hampshire
Durham, NH 03824
Voice: 603-862-0813
Fax: 603-862-2124
e-mail address: Adam.Wilson@unh.edu
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